Thursday, February 5, 2009

Imperial overreach and financial indiscipline


Is this the beginning of the end for Pax Americana?

The financial and economic crash of 2008, the worst in over 75 years, is a major geopolitical setback for the United States and Europe. Over the medium term, Washington and European governments will have neither the resources nor the economic credibility to play the role in global affairs that they otherwise would have played. These weaknesses will eventually be repaired, but in the interim, they will accelerate trends that are shifting the world's center of gravity away from the United States...

Tuesday, February 3, 2009


The Omid satellite launch confirms that Iranian scientists have mastered the separation of payload from missile in space and placing a payload into the right orbit, both useful skills for an ICBM. It does not imply Iran is on the brink of targeting Washington with a nuclear warhead.

The Russian government had said that in return for Obama's change in tone it would review its own plans to put tactical missiles in its western enclave of Kaliningrad. The diplomatic thaw, which is only a week old, generated hopes of a more productive bilateral relationship. All that is now under greater threat as a result of the Omid satellite launch by Iran, if it pushes the missile defence argument back in favour of the hawks.

Russia influences Kyrgyzstan to close key U.S. airbase

Last month, the Kremlin said it would open transportation lines through Russia to Afghanistan to help U.S. forces circumvent the violence-plagued route across the Pakistani border.
Although he didn't cite the base closing, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev made a point of saying in Moscow that Kyrgyzstan and Russia "are open to coordinated action" with the U.S.-led coalition in Afghanistan.
Analyst Felgenhauer said the message from the two actions was clear: The Kremlin is willing to help the American military in Afghanistan, but only on the condition that the U.S. recognizes its authority in central Asia.

NATO UNDER ATTACK

image credit: Paul Ferguson
Nato officials have told the BBC their computers are under constant attack from organisations and individuals bent on trying to hack into their secrets.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7851292.stm